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It is not the case that P. Argument (b) can also be analyzed as having the following form: If P and Q , then R. It is not the case that R. . It is not the case that P and Q. This form, however, is not common to argument (a), since in (a) there are n o sentences to replace 'P' and 'Q' as required. It should also be noted that the two arguments have the following form in common: However, this form is common to all nonconvergent arguments with two premises; it exhibits n o logically interesting feature, so it may be ignored for all purposes.

If all the premises are true (and remain true), then the conclusion is certainly true; ARGUMENT EVALUATION [CHAP. 2 n o further evidence can decrease its certainty. 4, inconsistent premises deductively imply any conclusion. ) In summary, inductive arguments, unlike deductive arguments, can be converted into arguments with higher or lower inductive probability by the addition of certain premises. Thus in inductive reasoning the choice of premises is crucial. Using one portion of the available evidence as premises may make a conclusion seem extremely probable, while using another portion may make it seem extremely improbable.

My friends are never wrong. Snorting a little nutmeg now and then is good for you. CHAP. 21 ARGUMENT EVALUATION Mr. Plotz owns a summer home in New Hampshire. C. He owns at least two homes. I looked cross-eyed at a toad once, and that very same day I broke my toe. Looking cross-eyed at a toad is bad luck. Sue is an intellectual. Sara is not an intellectual. No one both is and is not an intellectual. Albert wears ridiculous-looking clothes. Albert is always bumping into things. Albert is stupid.

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A Course in Game Theory by Rubenstein


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